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2021 Fantasy Baseball: Dual Aces Theory - Two Stud Pitchers Are Key

Baseball HQ
Low Investment Mound Aces

Ron Shandler
Justin Verlander
Gerrit Cole
Michael Fabiano
Shawn Childs
Mac Jones
Bill Belichick
Rashawn Slater
Greg Newsome II
Ryan Pace
Matt Nagy
Kevin Porter Jr.


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Round 1


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Both of these pieces of information helped teams plan their strategy for the following year.As the high-stakes fantasy market grew, fantasy owners had more draft results to help them make educated decisions within the draft. Each team is competing with two goals; the first is the league prize, and the second is the overall title.Each year, the inventory flow changes after fantasy owners have a history of what has won in the past, plus they have an understanding of their failures. Each year there will be different draft opportunities, and a fantasy owner must find them to succeed.In the post-steroid era, pitchers became much more attractive in the early round of the draft. The new vision in a fantasy owner's mind is the Dual Ace concept.In the early years of the high-stakes market, fantasy owners were more willing to push starting pitching back because it can change quickly based on injuries and information. As more owners sat down at the draft table with this thought process, it started to change pitching draft flow.There were only a handful of starting pitchers drafted in the first four rounds in the previous years. With the Dual Ace concept, it forced fantasy owners to start drafting starting pitching earlier. Here’s a look at the top two pitchers in baseball in 2019 (I didn't use the 2020 data due to the small sample size):In 2019, in a high-stakes league with 2,112 teams in a 12-team format with non-trading and once a week pitching moves, here are the final stats for the top 10 percent, top 20 percent, and medium for league stats for all the pitching categories:Note: A fantasy owner doesn’t need to rank in the top 10, or 20 percent in innings pitched, hits allowed, or walks. Here’s how each player finished in each category and their final value in SIscore:A fantasy owner drafting Justin Verlander would essentially gain 16.07 league points or 15.25 fantasy points with Gerrit Cole's addition. This edge can turn into more flexibility to chase wins, strikeouts, or saves if needed within the league standings.In the past, I've seen fantasy owners get the front of their pitching staff right, but they get beat at the backend. This season the lead starting pitching inventory flies off the board over the first two rounds, with some owners willing to pass on a potential elite five-category bat for a foundation ace.This draft season, it is possible that one-third of the first 30 selections are starting pitchers.

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