Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between ? Quarterbacks (2021 ...

It’s like saying something to the effect of “Matt Ryan was the QB12 last year, so he was a low-end QB1.” Ask anyone who rostered him in fantasy last year if he was the 12th best quarterback. What you don’t know is that Justin Herbert scored 22.2 points in Week 2 but wasn’t awarded with a QB1 performance because it just happened to be a high-scoring week for quarterbacks. Meanwhile, Cam Newton posted 16.8 points in Week 10 and was awarded with a QB1 performance because it was a low-scoring week for quarterbacks.The player’s performance should not be graded on a curve, because we have no control on predicting what that curve is for any particular week. To give you an idea as to something you may find below, here’s an example: Kirk Cousins performed as a QB1 in 50.0 percent of his games and is coming off the board as the No. 18 quarterback, while Joe Burrow performed as a QB1 in just 30.0 percent of his games and is going as a borderline top-12 quarterback in drafts.For the fifth time, welcome to Boom, Bust, and Everything In Between. Here’s what I mean: There were 13 quarterbacks who hit QB1-type numbers in at least 50 percent of their games in 2020. That’s a product of the limited pass attempts in Arthur Smith’s offense, so if we want Tannehill to be an every-week starter, we’d better hope he gets more attempts with Smith out of town.I explained in this piece last year that Aaron Rodgers was a tremendous value late in drafts (was the 10th quarterback off the board) and it paid off in a big way, as he delivered top-12 performances 81.3 percent of the time. Here are Wentz’s numbers from years past: He wasn’t a regular “boom” performer like the guys you’ll see drafted inside the top-10, but he was someone who posted QB1-type numbers at least 50 percent of the time in three straight seasons. There were 13 quarterbacks who posted QB1-type numbers at least half the time, including four of them who were drafted outside the top-15 quarterbacks. In 2019, we found three such quarterbacks, so they’re out there.But here’s the thing: Do you think you could stream a QB1-type performance just 60 percent of the time?