Consensus Fantasy Football Busts from 60 Experts (2021 ...

Who is the player you expect to be this year’s biggest fantasy bust and why?J.K. Dobbins (BAL)  The fantasy value for this 22-year-old RB is dependent on maintaining the elite rushing efficiency he showcased last season, which is a tough bet to make in full-PPR leagues. Dobbins and Gus Edwards combined for 2.2 targets per game from Week 8 on last year, so it’s hard to make any case for additional usage via the receiving game.” “Since 2018, Mixon has been a top-24 pick in fantasy football drafts each and every season despite the fact that he has been an RB3 or worse in 44% of his games during that stretch! During the 2020 season, he was 52nd among RBs in BRoto Fantasy’s Rushing Yards Over Expected metric, 67th in BRoto Fantasy’s Points Per Opportunity Excluding Touchdowns metric, 66th in the classic yards per carry stat, and was a top-10 RB just once in six games despite seeing 19 or more touches each week. – Michael Petropoulos (BRoto Fantasy)“Joe Mixon has averaged 3.7 yards per carry or fewer in 11 of his last 22 games. The problem is he still remains completely uninvolved in the passing game (45 targets last year) and the Raiders brought in Kenyan Drake, who was fourth in the NFL in RZ targets last season, to share the workload. Many read the Dolphins’ decision to pass on a rookie running back in the draft as a vote of confidence for the incumbent, but Gaskin played behind free-agent addition Malcolm Brown in the preseason opener and could end up in a fantasy-unfriendly backfield committee that would not justify Gaskin’s current top-25 RB ADP.” “Based on when players are being drafted and what the expected return is, Barkley is the biggest fantasy bust of the year for me. He can still be an RB2 with upside for a fantasy roster, but due to his draft price, he will be considered a bust this year. “I predict that the biggest fantasy bust of the season will be Henry, who’s an excellent rusher, but is not involved in the passing game. Derrick Henry will be an RB2 this season due to usage and game script, and I’m avoiding him in drafts.” “I am finding it harder to trust Swift as we head into the fantasy draft season. “Given that Thielen finished eighth in overall fantasy scoring among WRs last season (in half-PPR scoring), his ADP of 18th at his position might seem pretty reasonable, if not a bargain, but I still can’t draft him anywhere close to that. Chase hasn’t played a football game in over a year, his QB is coming off of an injury-shortened rookie season, and he is surrounded by two very good WRs in Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. Joe Burrow lived off of volume last season, as his 34th ranked True Throw Value made it clear that his throws were not worth many fantasy points, so Chase will need to see 110+ targets just to have a chance to live up to his current ADP if Burrow doesn’t drastically improve.” “Golladay is going to hurt fantasy players this season. I don’t really understand why the fourth target on a team that averaged just 19 completions per game last season is being drafted as a top-12 tight end.