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Fantasy Football: 5 Bold Predictions for Week 16


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half-PPR
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Derrick Henry
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Trevor Lawrence
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SOURCE: https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/41601/fantasy-football-5-bold-predictions-for-week-16
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Summary

They're allowing 0.28 Passing NEP per drop back as a unit (worst in the NFL), and we've seen Lawrence break 17 fantasy points four times when the matchup has been workable.As for Wilson, it's been an up-and-down year with way more "low" than "high." He's broken 18 fantasy points three times, but he's failed to top 15 points in any other games. He's not at much of a deficit to Lawrence on Sunday in the matchup category, though; the Jags are the third-worst pass defense in the NFL in terms of Passing NEP per drop back allowed (0.26).These two secondaries are terrible, which is why I was so surprised to see just a 41.5-point total in this game. Lawrence and Wilson have both had their moments, and quarterback really drops off after the cream-of-the-crop options.The pick is both Lawrence and Wilson find the top-15 spots in great matchups, and both are really solid fits in two-quarterback or superflex leagues.This doesn't feel bold, but Najee Harris hasn't hit this mark in six of the last seven weeks.It's been a frustrating season for Harris managers. The Chiefs are allowing 0.07 Rushing NEP per carry to opponents -- the sixth-worst mark in the league.Harris is averaging 2.8 red-zone touches per game this season, and if he can score and maintain his usual workload in the passing game, he's got a great shot to get back on track.I'd be incredibly worried to start Stefon Diggs with a championship berth on the line this weekend.Diggs' role has really reduced entering this brutal matchup with New England. They are an outlier matchup in every sense of the word.Diggs won fantasy football championships with 37.0 half-PPR points in Week 16 against New England last season.

As said here by https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/41601/fantasy-football-5-bold-predictions-for-week-16