NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Expert Data Analysis & Strategy

Plumlee played about 37 minutes in regulation against the Lakers in Detroit’s last game and has averaged 29.7 minutes per game in 11 starts with Okafor inactive this season.Top DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: Jerami Grant ($7,000), Blake Griffin ($5,000)Top FanDuel NBA DFS Picks: Jerami Grant ($7,800), Delon Wright ($6,000), Blake Griffin ($5,300)We don’t have an injury report for Houston yet since they played yesterday, but they said yesterday that Victor Oladipo would rest tonight and Eric Gordon and John Wall would return.Wall has averaged 1.29 DraftKings points per minute with a 31.0 percent usage rate and 43.3 percent assist rate in 162 minutes without either of Oladipo or Harden on the floor this season. Gordon has averaged 1.15 DraftKings points per minute with a 30.9 percent usage rate and 13.7 percent assist rate in his three games alongside Wall without Oladipo or Harden this season.DeMarcus Cousins was disappointing last night as he only played 24.9 minutes and didn’t see the floor in the fourth quarter. He has averaged 29 minutes per game and 1.42 DraftKings points per minute in six starts without Christian Wood this season.Top DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: John Wall ($7,300), DeMarcus Cousins ($7,400)Top FanDuel NBA DFS Picks: John Wall ($7,700), DeMarcus Cousins ($6,000)Josh Hart is questionable tonight. He has averaged 0.97 DraftKings points per minute in his limited playing time so far this season and has been a productive DFS producer in previous seasons as well.Top DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: Brandon Ingram ($8,500), Zion Williamson ($8,200)Top FanDuel NBA DFS Picks: Brandon Ingram ($8,900), Zion Williamson ($8,400), Eric Bledsoe ($5,100)Nerlens Noel is questionable. Burks has played at least 27 minutes in three of his last four games and he has averaged 0.98 DraftKings points per minute this season. Butler has averaged 1.31 DraftKings points per minute this season while Adebayo has averaged 1.26 DraftKings points per minute in the 11 games that he has played with Butler active. Both players are likely to play 34-plus minutes tonight assuming the game is competitive.Top DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: Bam Adebayo ($8,700), Jimmy Butler ($8,300)Top FanDuel NBA DFS Picks: Bam Adebayo ($8,800), Kendrick Nunn ($5,000)We don’t have an injury report yet, so I’m assuming that everyone who was available last night will also be available tonight.Stephen Curry is always the top option from the Warriors as he has averaged 1.45 DraftKings points per minute this season and has two games already with more than 55 actual points. By comparison, he has averaged 0.84 DraftKings points per minute and 26.6 minutes per game in 16 games played with Wiseman this season. He has averaged 1.18 DraftKings points per minute in games without Aldridge this season. White played about 25 minutes and I expect those to go to Walker, who has averaged 0.72 DraftKings points per minute this season.Top DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: DeMar DeRozan ($7,800), Dejounte Murray ($6,500)Top FanDuel NBA DFS Picks: DeMar DeRozan ($8,300), Dejounte Murray ($6,800), Jakob Poeltl ($5,500)Embiid should absolutely dominate the Sacramento frontcourt. Harris has averaged 1.11 DraftKings points per minute this season and leads the team with 34.2 minutes per game over the last month. Al-Farouq Aminu isn’t on the injury report and practiced yesterday so we could see him play for the first time this season.Nikola Vucevic has averaged 1.46 DraftKings points per minute this season with a 34.8 percent usage rate, 17.2 percent rebounding rate and 24.3 percent assist rate in 196 minutes without either of Gordon or Fournier on the floor this season. He has averaged 1.46 DraftKings points per minute with a 32.9 percent usage rate and 39.7 percent assist rate in eight games without McCollum this season. Those numbers are down from his 37.7 percent usage rate and 1.64 DraftKings points per minute in four games without McCollum last season, but they are still excellent numbers.Enes Kanter played another 34 minutes against the Knicks on Sunday and he has now averaged 30.6 minutes per game in 10 games without Nurkic this season. Kanter has averaged 1.21 DraftKings points per minute in his games without Nurkic this season.Nothing stands out beyond Lillard and Kanter as the other options have all been priced up to account for their increased playing time and they don’t produce at a high enough rate that I am particularly interested in paying their increased salaries.Top DraftKings NBA DFS Picks: Damian Lillard ($10,000), Enes Kanter ($7,500)Top FanDuel NBA DFS Picks: Damian Lillard ($9,800), Enes Kanter ($7,200)Jaylen Brown is questionable tonight.