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Negative Target Regression: Running Backs (2021 Fantasy Football ...


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Positivity     49.32%   
   Negativity   50.68%
The New York Times
SOURCE: https://www.fantasypros.com/2021/07/negative-target-regression-running-backs-2021-fantasy-football/
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Summary

Even if the team and Head Coach Ron Rivera continue to call McKissic’s number out of the backfield when they are playing from behind, I just don’t see it being enough to put McKissic atop the RB target board again this year, making him an obvious choice for target regression.Nyheim Hines (RB – IND) My gut tells me that Hines will still see some work out of the backfield from time to time but it won’t be anywhere near what we got from him in 2020, making him a prime candidate for target regression this year.David Montgomery (RB – CHI) 2020 targets: 68 – 4.5/gameIn addition to Taylor, David Montgomery also had a great back half of the year as a rookie last season. Now that team has moved on from Mitch Trubisky (QB – BUF) and drafted rookie Justin Fields (RB – CHI), things are looking up for the Bears in 2021.Quarterback play aside, Montgomery’s fantasy success last year can be attributed to more than just his play on the field. 2020 targets: 60 – 4.3/gameThis last one is a somewhat obvious choice but I think it’s still worth discussing exactly how much the Jaguars plan to use second-year UDFA running back James Robinson this year.

As said here by https://www.fantasypros.com/2021/07/negative-target-regression-running-backs-2021-fantasy-football/