NFL DFS Picks: Super Bowl LV NFL DFS Strategy | DraftKings ...

That means the big bets (and likely the sharper money) have been placed on the Bucs.If the betting trends reflect the DFS ownership in any way, Chiefs-heavy builds are going to be the chalk. Getting a Buccaneer in at Captain will immediately kick off your lineup in a contrarian way.None of the Kansas City backs look particularly appealing because of how much they favor passing, but they’re also the favorite in this game and have a 29.5 team total. If both of those play out as expected, the Chiefs will be in a position to run and score points often enough to compensate for their pass-heavy approach. In the weeks he has played this year, Watkins has averaged 35.7 routes and 5.5 targets per game. He only has two games over 70 yards in 10 games with the Bucs but does have 5 scores.Despite Brate going off for 149 yards and a score in three playoff games, the number of routes he has run suggests regression is coming. He makes a solid pivot off Brate, who has been out-playing his role in recent weeks.Both kickers and defenses get a bad reputation in shootouts because defenses want low-scoring games and kickers have no access to touchdowns. The high scoring may decrease the floor of defense, but it also cranks up the ceiling.Kickers may not be putting 6 points in any single play, but looking at the data from the past two seasons of winning Showdown lineups, high-scoring affairs don’t meaningfully change their odds of making the optimal roster.