NFL Fantasy Football Week 10 Lineup Decisions: Starts, Sits ...

KMET: After a catchless Week 7, Kmet has seen at least eight targets per game in two straight with over 17 PPR points per. PANTHERS: Have already been one of the league's worst at pass rush pressure rate (28.5% on the season is second-lowest) but will play this game on a short week on the road without top edge Brian Burns, leaving Derrick Brown, Frankie Luvu and Justin Houston as their top pass rush options this week. Specifically against receivers running short routes (under 15 Air Yards), the Colts have allowed in their past four games just one score, a 62.2% completion rate and a tiny 2.5 YAC/reception with a top-10 defensive EPA. Two receivers -- Christian Kirk and Rashid Shaheed -- have had more than 13 PPR points in those games.LAST WEEK: Scored on a route combo that Mac Jones read perfectly and threw with anticipation to Henry -- he didn't even have his head turned around before Jones threw the ball! Washington's track record of allowing a touchdown to a tight end in three of their four games going into Week 9 may have made Henry more of a target than normal, as might have Kendrick Bourne's season-ending injury. LAST WEEK: You already know Stroud was absolutely phenomenal, but perhaps the most impressive stat was that he posted a season-high in completion rate (71.4%) even though he threw more passes of 15-plus Air Yards (26.2% of his throws) and had a season-high 11.0 ADOT. This isn't something new for Stroud, either -- Houston's O-line has ranked fifth-best in pass rush pressure rate allowed (27.9%) and second-best in time to pressure (2.77 seconds) in the four games since left tackle Laremy Tunsil's return. In the four previous games Dell played at least 61% of the snaps in (Weeks 2-4 and Week 8), Stroud was still relatively aggressive but completed 62.6% of his throws for 8.5 yards per attempt with a still-good 38.2% of his passes traveling 10-plus Air Yards. TWO WEEKS AGO: The Bengals had one of their worst games defending passes of 15-plus Air Yards at San Francisco, allowing 85.7% of Brock Purdy's seven throws to be completed with a bad-for-them 5.33 YAC/reception yielded. LAST WEEK: The Bengals were considerably better defending passes of 15-plus Air Yards against the Bills, allowing a 57.1% completion rate with a much more manageable 2.75 YAC/reception. The Bucs did the same thing last week and it didn't work out so well for them -- Stroud completed 75% of his passes for 11.2 yards per catch and three of his five touchdowns with six plays of 20-plus yards. He commanded 28.9% of Stroud's targets and turned 11 targets into a 10-130-1 stat line -- and he should have had two touchdowns if not for an end-zone drop.RUN GAME WOES: The Texans gave up on their run game last week, rushing their backs 14 total times, the lowest tally of the season. BENGALS: A tight end has scored and/or caught for 70 yards against the Bengals in every game this season except one (Seahawks, Week 6). THIS SEASON: Ridley has underwhelmed, averaging 11.4 PPR points per game with four single-digit weeks. Young's arrival should boost the 49ers' already-great 40.6% pass rush pressure rate (fifth-highest) and allow the 49ers to play more exotic coverages against the pass while keeping quarterbacks uncomfortable.LAWRENCE: Has unquestionably struggled when pressured this year (67.0 QB rating) but has averaged nearly the same yards per attempt (7.1) when he's not pressured (7.2) and has been pressured on just 29.6% of his dropbacks overall. Ridley has the highest target share this season when Lawrence is pressured (23.6%), saw at least seven targets in each of those four games and had two of his three best Fantasy outcomes.49ERS: Allowed five touchdowns to wide receivers in their past two games and have yielded at least 14 PPR points to minimum of one receiver in all but three games this season: Pittsburgh in Week 1 (Diontae Johnson got hurt), the Giants in Week 3 (their O-line was decimated) and the Cowboys in Week 5. Their only game in their past three where they've had success pressuring the QB was at Indy, and even then they sacked him just twice.VIKINGS: Average the sixth-longest time-to-pressure in the league at 2.6 seconds and are better than league average in pass rush pressure rate allowed (33.6%). The 2.1 yards per carry allowed, and the 0.15 yards before contact per rush allowed, and the one rushing touchdown allowed came against the Vikings and Rams, arguably two of the least-efficient run games in the league today. They have yet to allow a rushing touchdown to a running back (four to quarterbacks), but gave up five passing scores to C.J. Stroud last week and nine in their past four games. PASS RUSH: The Buccaneers still like to blitz a ton (third-highest blitz rate on the season, 10th-most over their past three games), but their pressure isn't hitting. TITANS: Don't quite have the strong run defense we thought they would, giving up 5.1 yards per rush to RBs over their past five games with four rushing touchdowns allowed. On a diet of 32.1 pass attempts per game against, the Titans have given up just eight receiving touchdowns and are about league average in yards per catch and YAC/reception. Versus tight ends who strictly lined up in the slot or out wide like Pitts tends to do, Arizona has been second-best in catch rate allowed (57.1%), exactly league average in yards per catch allowed (10.0) with zero completions of 20-plus yards and two touchdowns (both from five yards out and both embarrassingly wide open in the middle of the end zone). He's completed four games this season -- Goff has 28 or more Fantasy points in two of them (Week 2 vs. BEFORE WEEK 8: The Chargers struggled against the pass, ranking in the bottom-10 of completion rate, yards per catch allowed (dead last at 12.8 yards), YAC/reception allowed and receiving touchdowns allowed (12, fifth-most). GIANTS: Saw their pass rush evaporate in their first game without Leonard Williams last week at Las Vegas, posting a season-worst 16% pressure rate. LAST WEEK: Couldn't find a second touchdown but played well once again, hitting the 325-yard mark for the second straight game and completing 64.4% of his throws with one score and a pick at New England. He even had over 21 Fantasy points in his one game without 40 pass attempts Week 6 at the Falcons. One other receiver has had 10-plus PPR points, the rest have scored nine or fewer including DeVonta Smith (on 11 targets), Courtland Sutton and the Chiefs' gaggle of wideouts.PASS COVERAGE: New York has been outstanding all year long statistically against receivers, ranking second-best in yards per catch allowed to both outside and slot receivers. They still have struggled after the catch, allowing an average of 5.97 YAC/reception in that four-week span.PASS RUSH: With the return of Baron Browning the Broncos are generating more heat on opposing pass games, too.