PGA TOUR Picks: Our Favorite Outright Bets, Sleepers and Props at ...

That was Reed’s second runner-up finish at Kapalua, where he also has a win, so he ticks the course history box.This trophy usually gets hoisted by one of the stars, but I’m never really going to bet guys under 10/1, so I’ll go to Reed at a bit of a bigger number in a tournament where he’s had success.Tony Finau (+2500)Nothing would be more 2020 than to start 2021 with a guy who rarely wins, coming through with a victory in a tournament whose field is typically only made up of champions from the prior year’s events. He will look to carry that momentum into the new year, and maybe just catch a couple of breaks for his first win since 2016.I love the way his distance will benefit him this week with wide fairways, and a course that requires great Par 5 Scoring which has always been an elite part of his game.I know it’s a new year, but not much has changed, so I’ll go in expecting the unexpected and Tony Finau fits that mold at a solid price.Bryson DeChambeau (+1200)After a long season, many of the golfers in the field will show up in Maui this week looking for an extended vacation. Leishman has played this tournament twice in the last three years, finishing fourth and seventh, and looked to bounce back a little bit at the Masters.Leishman really struggled after the hiatus and never really came close to contention in the second half of 2020, but perhaps he can build off the momentum from his 13th-place finish at Augusta.Sebastian Munoz (+10000)I will qualify this pick with saying that this event is historically won by the elite players at the top of the board, so I would really tread lightly on going for outright tickets on longshots this week. He showed throughout the season that he could hang with the elite players, and he has the added benefit of having some exposure to this course having made his debut at the Tournament of Champions last year.This is a course where having some course knowledge is definitely of benefit, and the added bonus of Munoz’ putting preference for the bermudagrass greens he will see this week make him a good longshot opportunity.I’ll look to dabble a bit on Munoz to win, but the better value in my opinion is in some fairly juicy place odds where, for example, you can get plus money for him to finish inside the top-20 in just a 42-man field.Adam Scott (+5500)Scott comes into 2021 with a lot of question marks.