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UFC 265 Model, Preview and Picks: Finding the Most Value for DFS ...


DFS
FantasyLabs
UFC
DraftKings
Gane
»
Kenney
LLC
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Sean Koerner
Ciryl Gane
Bon Gamin
Derrick Lewis
Alonzo Menifield
Ed Herman
Menfiield
Pedro Munhoz
’d
Jose Aldo
Marlon Vera
Johnny Munoz
Osbourne
Osborne
Manel Kape
Michael Chiesa
Vicente Luque
Casey Kenney
Song Yadong
Kowalkiewicz
Kenny
Chris Unger


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Gane
Menifield
Tapology


Chiesa

Positivity     45.46%   
   Negativity   54.54%
The New York Times
SOURCE: https://www.fantasylabs.com/articles/ufc-265-model-preview-picks-value-dfs-lineups/
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Summary

As a -240 favorite, he trails only Gane in median projection.The matchup seems, at least on paper, to be a great one for Menifield, as his opponent is 40 years old and likely on the downside of his career.The knock on Menfiield is his gas tank, as both opponents who survived the first 5:40 of bouts with him were victorious, but betting markets don’t think we need to worry too much about that this time, as he’s a -140 favorite to win inside the distance.Call it a hunch, but I also think his team is likely to have worked with him on being more judicious with his output early, although I don’t think we’ll get a chance to see it this weekend.Pedro Munhoz ($7,600)Our models absolutely love Munhoz’s ceiling from a price-considered standpoint here.At 91.2 points, you’d have to pay $900 more in salary to find anybody better. Much of this is likely due to his absurd takedown rate, as he attempted 16 in his lone UFC fight, which could quickly add up on the fantasy scorecards.While it’s a little scary paying up this high for a fighter who has yet to win a UFC bout, Munoz makes a lot of sense in lineups where he can fit if you think betting markets are on the right side of this one.» LIMITED-TIME OFFER: Football is back! He’s not really more skilled than his opponent in any aspect of mixed martial arts, but that’s been the case for him numerous times in his career and he’s found a way to win, usually in devastating fashion anyway.I fully expect Gane to be victorious here, but there’s no way 6 p.m. ET rolls around without me having a few Lewis lineups out there anyway.Michael Chiesa ($7,700) vs Vicente Luque ($8,500)This fight is a pick’em everywhere I look, and it’s hard to argue that the line is off.

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