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Week 10 NFL DFS Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings ...


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SOURCE: https://www.fantasylabs.com/articles/week-10-nfl-dfs-top-model-picks-value-plays-draftkings-fanduel-2/
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Summary

He also has the top median, ceiling and floor projection in Chris Raybon’s projections on both DraftKings and FanDuel.Since coming back from their bye week, Burrow and the Bengals have beaten the 49ers and the Bills in two tough games. Mayfield has exceeded salary-based expectations with multiple touchdown passes in each of the past two weeks and is averaging a solid 17.2 DraftKings points and 16.9 FanDuel points per game on the season.Sometimes to bring added clarity and incorporate more data, it is helpful to blend multiple projections together (as highlighted above). He has scored two rushing touchdowns in the last two weeks and also had multiple receptions in each of those three contests, totaling 10 catches on 12 targets for 64 yards.This week, the Steelers and Harris host the Packers, who have allowed an average of 96.3 rushing yards and 35.4 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs this season. Overall, they have allowed the eight-most DraftKings points to opposing running backs this season.This should be a good spot for Harris to return value from his salary under $5K and is a great chance to “buy the dip” on Harris on DraftKings, where he has an impressive 97% Bargain Rating.Harris is still more expensive on FanDuel, so if you need a different value play, the three-way aggregate projection identifies Bijan Robinson with the highest Projected Plus/Minus on the slate and Tyjae Spears with the best Projected Plus/Minus of any running back with a salary under $6K.Coming back from a bye week, St. Brown and the Lions will head to the West Coast and take on the Chargers in the late window. He has 77 targets in his seven games and has found the end zone three times.Since missing Week 5’s game against Carolina, he has exceeded salary-based expectations on DraftKings in three straight games.On FanDuel, St. Brown matches seven Pro Trends, the most of any wide receiver on this slate, and on DraftKings, he matches six Pro Trends which is tied for the third-most of the receivers in action.St. Brown is also a relative bargain on FanDuel, where he has a 91% Bargain Rating. Since we don’t know how good Murray will be in this offense or if Moore will get enough looks, it’s a high-risk play, but there’s definitely a high ceiling to consider as well.Other good options to consider as values at wide receiver this week include Diontae Johnson, Jaxson Smith-Njigba and the tandem of Tyler Boyd and Trenton Irwin for the Bengals who will have to fill for Tee Higgins and a possibly even for Ja’Marr Chase, depending on how his injury progresses.Be sure to check out all the pick’ems Sleeper has to offer with Sleeper Fantasy promo code LABS1 for a $100 deposit match.I’m very surprised that Sam LaPorta has only the third-highest salary of tight ends on DraftKings and the fourth-highest on FanDuel. Last week, Hockenson had seven catches for 69 yards in the Vikings’ win.McBride has the highest Projected Plus/Minus and Pts/Sal of all tight ends in the three-way blended projections on FanDuel and DraftKings. He also has the top median, ceiling and floor projection in Chris Raybon’s projections on both DraftKings and FanDuel.Since coming back from their bye week, Burrow and the Bengals have beaten the 49ers and the Bills in two tough games. Mayfield has exceeded salary-based expectations with multiple touchdown passes in each of the past two weeks and is averaging a solid 17.2 DraftKings points and 16.9 FanDuel points per game on the season.Sometimes to bring added clarity and incorporate more data, it is helpful to blend multiple projections together (as highlighted above). He has scored two rushing touchdowns in the last two weeks and also had multiple receptions in each of those three contests, totaling 10 catches on 12 targets for 64 yards.This week, the Steelers and Harris host the Packers, who have allowed an average of 96.3 rushing yards and 35.4 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs this season. Overall, they have allowed the eight-most DraftKings points to opposing running backs this season.This should be a good spot for Harris to return value from his salary under $5K and is a great chance to “buy the dip” on Harris on DraftKings, where he has an impressive 97% Bargain Rating.Harris is still more expensive on FanDuel, so if you need a different value play, the three-way aggregate projection identifies Bijan Robinson with the highest Projected Plus/Minus on the slate and Tyjae Spears with the best Projected Plus/Minus of any running back with a salary under $6K.Coming back from a bye week, St. Brown and the Lions will head to the West Coast and take on the Chargers in the late window. He has 77 targets in his seven games and has found the end zone three times.Since missing Week 5’s game against Carolina, he has exceeded salary-based expectations on DraftKings in three straight games.On FanDuel, St. Brown matches seven Pro Trends, the most of any wide receiver on this slate, and on DraftKings, he matches six Pro Trends which is tied for the third-most of the receivers in action.St. Brown is also a relative bargain on FanDuel, where he has a 91% Bargain Rating. Since we don’t know how good Murray will be in this offense or if Moore will get enough looks, it’s a high-risk play, but there’s definitely a high ceiling to consider as well.Other good options to consider as values at wide receiver this week include Diontae Johnson, Jaxson Smith-Njigba and the tandem of Tyler Boyd and Trenton Irwin for the Bengals who will have to fill for Tee Higgins and a possibly even for Ja’Marr Chase, depending on how his injury progresses.Be sure to check out all the pick’ems Sleeper has to offer with Sleeper Fantasy promo code LABS1 for a $100 deposit match.I’m very surprised that Sam LaPorta has only the third-highest salary of tight ends on DraftKings and the fourth-highest on FanDuel. Last week, Hockenson had seven catches for 69 yards in the Vikings’ win.McBride has the highest Projected Plus/Minus and Pts/Sal of all tight ends in the three-way blended projections on FanDuel and DraftKings.

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