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Week 12 NFL DFS Top Model Picks and Value Plays on DraftKings ...


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the pick’ems Sleeper
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the Bills.
Patriots
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McBride’s
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McBride 16
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Indy


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Chris Raybon’s
Derek Carty’s
Jalen Hurts
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Baker Mayfield
Gardner Minshew
Pts/Sal
Patrick Mahomes
Mac Jones
Bryce Young
Derek Carr
Christian McCaffrey
Tony Pollard
Raheem Mostert
Jonathan Taylor
Zack Moss
Moss 50-to-9
Jaylen Warren
Matt Canada
Eddie Faulkner
Najee Harris
Joe Burrow
Javonte Williams
Tyjae Spears
A.J. Brown
Courtland Sutton
Demario Douglas

Rashid Shaheed
Zay Jones
Justin Watson
Trey Palmer
Travis Kelce
Kyler Murray
Cade
Otton


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Tampa Bay
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Kelce


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Indianapolis
Germany
Warren
Pittsburgh


Thanksgiving
Black Friday

Positivity     42.21%   
   Negativity   57.79%
The New York Times
SOURCE: https://www.fantasylabs.com/articles/week-12-nfl-dfs-top-model-picks-and-value-plays-on-draftkings-and-fanduel/
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Summary

He has exceeded salary-based expectations on FanDuel in six of his past seven games and on DraftKings in five of those seven contests.Hurts and the Eagles are undefeated at home this season, and he has been especially sharp at the Linc, averaging 26.1 DraftKings points and 25.1 FanDuel points per home start.Last week, the Bills bounced back with a good showing against the struggling Jets, but before that matchup had allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four straight contests. For the most part, he isn’t getting much help from his running game, so he has 15 passing touchdowns in his 10 games while averaging a solid 238.9 passing yards per contest.The Colts are coming off their bye week after winning in Germany. On FanDuel, Warren has been priced up to almost $7,000, but he still has good upside since he has been tearing things up in his growing role in the Steelers offense.Warren has exceeded salary-based expectations in eight of his 10 games on DraftKings with an Average Plus/Minus of 4.82 DraftKings points on the season. He has been even better lately, with an Average Plus/Minus of 12.3 in his last three contests.In each of the last two weeks, Warren has run for over 100 yards and a touchdown while also adding a total of five catches. Brown has the highest median, ceiling, and floor projections at wide receiver on both DraftKings and FanDuel in the blended projections.Before last week’s letdown, Brown had at least six catches and at least eight targets in all but one game this season. Opposing receivers have eight touchdowns in 10 games and an average of 130.6 yards against the Bills this season.Stacking Hurts and Brown and counting on them for a big bounce-back performance is a strong strategy to consider this week. He has the second-highest ceiling, median, and floor projections in the aggregated projections on both DraftKings and FanDuel.He also has the highest Projected Plus/Minus at the position on both sites in the aggregated projections.McBride’s recent breakout as a top producer has been fueled by at least five targets in six straight games. Opposing tight ends have an average of 56.8 yards per game and have scored five touchdowns in the last seven games.McBride has the potential for a monster game, and he comes so much cheaper than Kelce that he is much easier to fit in lineups for this week.Using the aggregated projections, Cade Otton has the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus of tight ends on DraftKings and the fifth-highest on FanDuel. He has exceeded salary-based expectations on FanDuel in six of his past seven games and on DraftKings in five of those seven contests.Hurts and the Eagles are undefeated at home this season, and he has been especially sharp at the Linc, averaging 26.1 DraftKings points and 25.1 FanDuel points per home start.Last week, the Bills bounced back with a good showing against the struggling Jets, but before that matchup had allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four straight contests. For the most part, he isn’t getting much help from his running game, so he has 15 passing touchdowns in his 10 games while averaging a solid 238.9 passing yards per contest.The Colts are coming off their bye week after winning in Germany. On FanDuel, Warren has been priced up to almost $7,000, but he still has good upside since he has been tearing things up in his growing role in the Steelers offense.Warren has exceeded salary-based expectations in eight of his 10 games on DraftKings with an Average Plus/Minus of 4.82 DraftKings points on the season. Brown has the highest median, ceiling, and floor projections at wide receiver on both DraftKings and FanDuel in the blended projections.Before last week’s letdown, Brown had at least six catches and at least eight targets in all but one game this season. Opposing receivers have eight touchdowns in 10 games and an average of 130.6 yards against the Bills this season.Stacking Hurts and Brown and counting on them for a big bounce-back performance is a strong strategy to consider this week. He has the second-highest ceiling, median, and floor projections in the aggregated projections on both DraftKings and FanDuel.He also has the highest Projected Plus/Minus at the position on both sites in the aggregated projections.McBride’s recent breakout as a top producer has been fueled by at least five targets in six straight games. Opposing tight ends have an average of 56.8 yards per game and have scored five touchdowns in the last seven games.McBride has the potential for a monster game, and he comes so much cheaper than Kelce that he is much easier to fit in lineups for this week.Using the aggregated projections, Cade Otton has the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus of tight ends on DraftKings and the fifth-highest on FanDuel.

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