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Week 13 NFL DFS QB Breakdown: Defense Does Matter ...


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Week 13 Fantasy Rankings

Positivity     44.81%   
   Negativity   55.19%
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SOURCE: https://www.fantasylabs.com/articles/draftkings-fanduel-picks-fantasy-football-week-13-nfl-dfs-qb-breakdown-defense-does-matter/
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Summary

For updates, visit the models directly.And don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.There are five quarterbacks atop the individual Pro Models that Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, and Ryan Hodge have constructed, as well as our proprietary Cash Game and Tournament ModelsHere’s where they place within our Week 13 Fantasy Rankings (as of Wednesday):We’ll discuss why these five are popping in our models, as well as take a look at some other backs who could help you take down a tournament.For more in-depth NFL analysis, check out The Action Network.At this point in the season, you likely don’t need to be told what Jackson brings to the table. However, the same can be said for most of the top quarterbacks on DraftKings this week — the four most expensive options all have negative scores in that category.Vegas data is favorable for Herbert in this one, too, with this game being tied for the highest total on the board. Slight favorites in high-total games is a good recipe for quarterback success, per our Trends tool:Especially when they play on the league’s third most pass-happy team, as Herbert does, Herbert has a low of 34 pass attempts on the season, with five games over 40. They’ve allowed opposing quarterbacks to top 26 DraftKings points in more than half (six out of 11) of their games this season.So that gives us reason to believe that Las Vegas will have a pass-first attack this week. Their reasonably high (26 point) implied team total gives us reason to believe they will succeed at it.The presence of deep-ball specialist DeSean Jackson adds another dimension to Carr’s game as well. Hurts is the only quarterback with a salary over $5,600 on DraftKings facing a team with a positive Opponent Plus/Minus allowed to the position this week.Of course, a blowout win would likely Hurts (pun intended) his chances at a big game this week. (For some fun perspective, 14 teams average less than that per game.) Assuming that continues against the Falcons’ 29th-ranked pass defense, it’s a good spot for Brady. For updates, visit the models directly.And don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.There are five quarterbacks atop the individual Pro Models that Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, and Ryan Hodge have constructed, as well as our proprietary Cash Game and Tournament ModelsHere’s where they place within our Week 13 Fantasy Rankings (as of Wednesday):We’ll discuss why these five are popping in our models, as well as take a look at some other backs who could help you take down a tournament.For more in-depth NFL analysis, check out The Action Network.At this point in the season, you likely don’t need to be told what Jackson brings to the table. However, the same can be said for most of the top quarterbacks on DraftKings this week — the four most expensive options all have negative scores in that category.Vegas data is favorable for Herbert in this one, too, with this game being tied for the highest total on the board. Slight favorites in high-total games is a good recipe for quarterback success, per our Trends tool:Especially when they play on the league’s third most pass-happy team, as Herbert does, Herbert has a low of 34 pass attempts on the season, with five games over 40. They’ve allowed opposing quarterbacks to top 26 DraftKings points in more than half (six out of 11) of their games this season.So that gives us reason to believe that Las Vegas will have a pass-first attack this week. Their reasonably high (26 point) implied team total gives us reason to believe they will succeed at it.The presence of deep-ball specialist DeSean Jackson adds another dimension to Carr’s game as well. Hurts is the only quarterback with a salary over $5,600 on DraftKings facing a team with a positive Opponent Plus/Minus allowed to the position this week.Of course, a blowout win would likely Hurts (pun intended) his chances at a big game this week. (For some fun perspective, 14 teams average less than that per game.) Assuming that continues against the Falcons’ 29th-ranked pass defense, it’s a good spot for Brady.

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