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Week 16 Fantasy Football Start or Sit: Which Running Backs Can Be ...


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LAC
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PHI
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Bay Buccaneers'
The New England Patriots
TB (
PIT (30%
CHI
FLEX
- Antonio Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown
St. Brown's
the Big Five
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BUF


Justin Herbert
Dak Prescott
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CHI
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Jared Goff
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Jonathan Taylor
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LA
James Robinson
Austin Ekeler
Patterson
Nick Chubb
Alvin Kamara
D'Andre Swift
Joe Mixon
Josh Jacobs
David Montgomery
James Conner
Ezekiel Elliott
Barkley
Antonio Gibson
Aaron Jones
Miles Sanders
Javonte Williams
Ronald Jones
Melvin Gordon
Jeff Wilson
Tony Pollard
Darrell Henderson
Michael Carter
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
PIT
Devin Singletary
A.J. Dillon
Rhamondre Stevenson
James Conner's
Edmonds
Ronald Jones'
Devin Singletary's
Rex Burkhead
- Chuba Hubbard
Michel
Myles Gaskin
Darrel Williams
Mike Davis
Rashaad Penny
David Johnson
Brandon Bolden
Davante Adams
Deebo Samuel
Keenan Allen
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Michael Pittman Jr.
Stefon Diggs
CeeDee Lamb
Tee Higgins
D.K. Metcalf
- D.J. Moore
Mike Williams
Jaylen Waddle
Elijah Moore
DeVonta Smith
Jarvis Landry
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Russell Gage
Kenny Golladay
Antonio Brown
Chris Godwin
Mike Evans
Mike Williams'
Justin Jefferson
Cooper Kupp
George Kittle
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Jakobi Meyers
Michael Gallup
Van Jefferson
Marvin Jones
Robby Anderson
Nelson Agholor
Laviska Shenault
A.J. Green
Allen Robinson
Jerry Jeudy
Tyler Boyd
Travis Kelce
Mark Andrews
Rob Gronkowski
Kyle Pitts
Dallas Goedert
Darren Waller
Mike Gesicki
Dalton Schultz
Tyler Higbee
Jared Cook
- Dawson Knox
DeAndre Hopkins
Zach Ertz
Christian Kirk
Beasley
Foster Moreau
Noah Fant
Tyler Conklin
Austin Hooper
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Jonnu Smith
Ricky Seals-Jones
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James O'Shaughnessy


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SEA


NE
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LA
TB
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GB
PHI
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Positivity     37.72%   
   Negativity   62.28%
The New York Times
SOURCE: https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/41637/week-16-fantasy-football-start-or-sit-which-running-backs-can-be-league-winners
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Summary

That's why for this version of a start-or-sit column, I'm going to be listing out all relevant fantasy football players each week and bucketing them into tiers. The results will boil down to three tiers: players we should be confident about starting, players we can consider starting whenever we don't have better alternatives but who aren't must-plays, and players we should try to bench whenever we do have better alternatives (i.e. players listed above them on the list). The groupings reflect a 12-team, single-quarterback league with the following hypothetical in mind: if I had other viable options on my bench or the waiver wire, should I start this player this week? Start With Confidence: These players are at least 50% likely to finish the week as a top-12 quarterback, according to the slate simulations. - Russell Wilson vs. - Zach Wilson vs. - Mac Jones vs. Start With Confidence: These running backs are at least 60% likely to finish the week inside the top 24, according to the slate simulations. Consider If Needed - This tier is sitting between 40% and 59% for an RB2 week, and you're probably starting some of them even if they're shy of that top tier. - James Conner vs. - Aaron Jones vs. In seven games during which Jones played at least 50.0% of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' snaps, Jones averaged 16.9 half-PPR points on 18.0 carries, 3.4 targets, and 115.3 yards per game. In his past two games, he has had an 82.7% and a 92.3% snap rate while averaging 13.0 carries, 4.0 targets, and 92.5 yards per game with a strong 55.6% red zone rushing share. - Darrel Williams vs. - Mike Davis vs. - David Johnson vs. - Chase Edmonds vs. - Justin Jefferson vs. - Tyler Lockett vs. - A.J. Brown vs. Consider If Needed: These players are more matchup dependent for this week than the tier above but are likely where we are looking for a lot of our WR2, WR3, and FLEX plays this week. Brown has played just five games this season and has had a 20.3% target share even while never clearing a 64.0% snap rate. In eight games from Week 4 through 12, Williams just once surpassed a 20.0% target share. St. Brown's single-game target shares since Week 13 have been 31.6%, 32.4%, and 42.3%. In that stretch, his overall target share (34.7%) ranks fifth-best among all players, trailing just Justin Jefferson (41.5%), Cooper Kupp (39.6%), Michael Pittman (38.2%), and George Kittle (36.3%). - Tyler Boyd vs. I mentioned high-end target shares over the past three weeks, and a name above 30.0% at tight end (again, along with George Kittle at 36.3%) is Dallas Goedert at 31.3% (in two games). Keep playing Gesicki, even in a tough spot, if you need him.Since returning in Week 10, Dawson Knox has a viable 16.6% target share and a 21.6% red zone share. With Cole Beasley on the COVID-19 list, Knox could see more low aDOT targets go his way.Bench If Possible: These tight ends aren't in the starting conversation in 12-team leagues unless you're desperate. - Tyler Conklin vs.

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