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Week 17 Fantasy Football Start or Sit: Who Can We Trust in ...


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Positivity     37.58%   
   Negativity   62.42%
The New York Times
SOURCE: https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/41677/week-17-fantasy-football-start-or-sit-who-can-we-trust-in-championship-week
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Summary

That's why for this version of a start-or-sit column, I'm going to be listing out all relevant fantasy football players each week and bucketing them into tiers. The groupings reflect a 12-team, single-quarterback league with the following hypothetical in mind: if I had other viable options on my bench or the waiver wire, should I start this player this week? Start With Confidence: These players are at least 50% likely to finish the week as a top-12 quarterback, according to the slate simulations. - Josh Allen vs. - Taysom Hill vs. - Mac Jones vs. - Sam Ehlinger vs. - Zach Wilson vs. - Mike Glennon at CHI (02%)Start With Confidence: These running backs are at least 60% likely to finish the week inside the top 24, according to the slate simulations. - Austin Ekeler vs. - Aaron Jones vs. While he may lose some of his peak role to Jeff Wilson, either a start by Trey Lance or an injured Garoppolo should lead to a strong workload for Mitchell against the Houston Texans, who rank 26th in rushing success rate allowed to running backs.Ronald Jones didn't really have the role we had all hoped for, and while that might make him a "sit" suggestion in a more traditional start/sit column, the reality is that he's in a fine spot to be started in Week 17, provided he's the best option you have for an RB2 or FLEX play. - Devonta Freeman vs. Consider If Needed: These players are more matchup dependent for this week than the tier above but are likely where we are looking for a lot of our WR2, WR3, and FLEX plays this week. - A.J. Brown vs. - Diontae Johnson vs. - Amari Cooper vs. - Marquise Brown vs. - Mike Williams vs. In this four-week sample, St. Brown's target share (34.1%) ranks fifth among all receivers with at least two games played.Though DJ Moore's matchup is problematic, the volume lately hasn't been. Moore generated an 8-catch, 11-target, 79-yard, 1-touchdown game against the New Orleans Saints earlier this season.Christian Kirk is looking like a strong WR3/FLEX (and a low-end WR2) this week. In five games since Zach Ertz's role improved and in games without DeAndre Hopkins, Kirk has a 21.5% target share (equaling 8.0 targets per game in this split) with a team-leading 29.4% air yards share. He should be on the field plenty and drawing high-leverage targets this week.Bench If Possible: These players finished as a WR2 or better under 30% of the time.- Jerry Jeudy at LAC (29%) - Jared Cook vs. - Hunter Henry vs. JAC (31%)- Tyler Conklin at GB (31%)In that aforementioned split for Christian Kirk's role, Zach Ertz (again, since a role increase and without DeAndre Hopkins over five games), Ertz leads the Arizona Cardinals in target market share (23.7% for 8.8 targets per game) and has had double-digit targets in his past two games. Since Week 13 with Thielen barely playing, Conklin has a 14.7% target share (4.8 per game) with a 22.2% red zone share.Bench If Possible: These tight ends aren't in the starting conversation in 12-team leagues unless you're desperate.

As said here by https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/41677/week-17-fantasy-football-start-or-sit-who-can-we-trust-in-championship-week