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Which Draft-Hopeful Wide Receivers Produced Like Studs in College?


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Ruggs
LSU
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Virginia Tech


Dyami Brown
Jaylen Waddle
Henry Ruggs
Jerry Jeudy
Irv Smith Jr.
Devonta Smith
Heisman Trophy
Jaylen Waddle's
Kadarius Toney's
Steve Johnson
Marshall
Justin Jefferson
Ja'Marr Chase
Elijah Moore
Jaelon Darden

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Florida
North Texas

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The New York Times
SOURCE: https://www.numberfire.com/nfl/news/36327/which-draft-hopeful-wide-receivers-produced-like-studs-in-college
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Summary

The 2021 wide receiver draft class looks good on paper. The wide receiver model looks at three major production categories: best-season receptions per game, best-season touchdown share, and best-season receiving yards per team pass attempt. The model uses historical player information to help find good prospects, so that means the majority of top wide receivers in the NFL -- the top wide receivers in fantasy football -- were also productive when they were in college within these categories. The 2021 class is a good one, but from a college production standpoint, it still doesn't come close to what we saw from dominant fantasy wide receivers when they were in college. There were 10 players within this year's class sample to not exceed the 5.0 receptions per game mark. But he's a big-play receiver who averaged over 20 yards per reception in each of his last two collegiate seasons, which gave him a yards per team pass attempt rate that actually ranked ninth best in our 2021 class sample. Waddle's yards per team pass attempt that year was 1.94, a number that wasn't even hit by 11 wide receivers in this year's draft class sample. He hauled in 21.74% of Florida's touchdowns during his best season within the metric, ranking fourth-worst among the 34 wide receivers in the class' sample. But if we take the stud sample averages in the three production categories we've looked at today and use those as filters within this class' sample, three players remain.One of them isn't all that surprising, and that's Devonta Smith. And not all of those players were analyzed through this exercise.So if you want more information on the prospect model and this year's draft class, listen to The Late-Round Podcast this week.© 2009-2021 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld.

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