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That means that, in any given year, Grayscale’s Bitcoin fund has a 95 percent chance of returning between negative ~100 percent and +222 percent.In any given year, you have a 95 percent probability of a return that could run the gamut from tripling the value of your Bitcoin investment to more or less losing it all.Compare that to the likelihood of only an 11 percent loss in the stock market from year to year, with the possibility of a 34 percent return.A person is better off going to Las Vegas and gambling the same amount they’d otherwise put into Bitcoin, or any other cryptocurrency, at the craps table.
As said here by Lawrence Meyers