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How likely is England to achieve zero new HIV cases by 2030?

the United Nations
the University of Cambridge
Public Health England
the Terrence Higgins Trust
Medical News Today
National Health Service].”Pre

Daniela De Angelis
Valerie Delpech
Valerie DelpechTakudzwa Mukiwa


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the United Kingdom

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Positivity     42.00%   
   Negativity   58.00%
The New York Times
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The third target is for 90% of people taking antiretroviral therapy to have achieved “viral suppression,” which means having fewer than 200 copies of the virus per milliliter of blood.England achieved these targets in 2017 and set an ambitious new goal of ending HIV transmission by 2030.A recent study in The Lancet HIV looked at the likelihood of England reaching its goals and reducing HIV transmission among MSM so that it becomes exceedingly rare.The researchers also analyzed data to determine the effects of several intervention strategies on the spread of HIV. The authors suggest a need for targeted policies to further slow the rate of new cases among this group.Based on the data, the team predicts a 40% probability that England will achieve fewer than one new HIV infection per 10,000 people by 2030.In their study, the researchers were not able to link results with specific public health strategies implemented in the last decade. Many clinics offer online testing throughout the year — people can order tests on clinic websites, take them in the privacy of their own homes, return [them] by post, and receive results via text, phone call, or post.” – Dr. Valerie DelpechTakudzwa Mukiwa, the head of health programs at the Terrence Higgins Trust, a U.K.-based HIV and sexual health charity, told Medical News Today, “The reality is, we now have all the tools we need to end new HIV cases in the U.K. by 2030 — not just among gay and bisexual men, as discussed in this study, but across all groups impacted by HIV.”“We have prevention pill PrEP that stops [people] from contracting HIV, a range of fast testing options, and effective treatment for people living with HIV that means the virus can’t be passed on.” “But we mustn’t be complacent, and we will only get there by making a real step change to ensure that we see a fall in HIV cases across all groups, rather than just those traditionally most impacted,” Mr. Mukiwa emphasized.

As said here by Kevin Lloyd