Projecting 2021 NFL playoffs: Who will play in Super Bowl LVI? Win the Lombardi Trophy?

Since the Chiefs acquired Melvin Ingram ahead of Week 9, their defense has allowed the NFL's second-lowest passer rating (81.8) and yards per attempt (5.0), and third-worst completion percentage (66.4%) against quick passes (less than 2.5 seconds to throw), per NGS.The Chiefs own a major advantage over the Steelers in this area, which doesn't bode well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night. The veteran ranks 29th in completion percentage (69.6), 25th in yards per attempt (5.7) and passer rating (93.2), and 27th in completion percentage over expected (-4.2%).Tom Brady led the NFL with 23 touchdowns on quick passes this season. That percentage may seem small, but remember: They would still have to win two more games to qualify for a trip to L.A. One of the keys to the Bills advancing is continuing to limit Mac Jones' production off play-action, as the NGS data shows they throttled the rookie in that area in their two previous meetings this season:The Bills' dominance against play-action isn't just limited to Jones, though, as their defense ranks first in the league in completion percentage (48.4), yards per attempt (5.9), passer rating (52.3) and completion percentage over expected (-10.4), per NGS.Derrick Henry's expected return after the Titans' first-round bye should have a significant impact on Ryan Tannehill's overall performance. When facing four or fewer rushers, Prescott also averages 7.7 yards per attempt (fifth-highest) with a 100.9 passer rating (third) and a +4.5 completion percentage over expected (second).Joe Burrow’s 14.3 yards per attempt on passes of 10-plus air yards is an NGS era single-season record. 65.6) to go along with a league-leading +11.8 completion percentage over expected.The Niners' pass rush has been dominant when sending four or fewer rushers this season, generating the league's third-best QB pressure rate (29.4%) and sack rate (7.4%). However, when they don't, it's trouble: 73.5 completion percentage, 67 yards per attempt, 11 touchdowns to six interceptions and a 95.1 passer rating.The 2021 Raiders blitzed at the lowest rate (14.4%) of any team in the NGS era and still produced the league's highest overall pressure rate (33.6%). In their Week 6 loss to the Bucs, Hurts was limited to 10 rushes for just 44 yards outside the tackles.The Steelers have the second-highest sack rate (7.5%) and fourth-best completion percentage over expected (-3.3%) in the NFL when sending four or fewer rushers this season, per NGS.