Stock market crash: Expert warns of 66% plunge, negative returns - Business Insider
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Summary
"That loss would not even breach historical valuation norms, but it would at least bring our estimates of long-term expected S&P 500 returns closer to their historical average, in contrast to the negative 10-12 year prospects we observe at present."The reasoning behind Hussman's call can be distilled into two distinct portions: market valuations and market internals. But today, with interest rates on the floor, even a well-diversified investor seems to be in a precarious position, according to Hussman's projections.Below is Hussman's proprietary estimated 12-year annual total return for a conventional portfolio (60% stocks, 30% bonds, 10% cash — blue line) compared against the actual subsequent 12-year returns for that portfolio (red line) to help demonstrate this idea.
As said here by Christopher Competiello